Methane is generated from solid waste and wastewater through the anaerobic
decomposition of the organic component of the waste stream. Each of these sources
is believed to account for about 10% of human-induced methane emissions, although
there are large uncertainties in the precise emission levels (IPCC 1996a, WGII,
Section 184.108.40.206). In the future, methane emissions from these sources are expected
to grow, with the largest increases expected in developing countries. Population
and economic growth are the major drivers behind the rising emission levels
of developing countries. In addition, current efforts to improve solid waste
and wastewater management will affect future emission levels. If developing
countries pursue solid waste disposal in large landfills and anaerobic wastewater
treatment without including methane recovery technologies, emissions could increase
significantly. There are a variety of technologies and approaches available
that require less capital, use less complicated technologies and avoid GHG emissions.
These technologies may be particularly appropriate in developing countries,
but could also be more widely used in industrialised countries. The key challenge
will be ensuring that the opportunities are identified and implemented.
Solid waste disposal sites (landfills and open dumps) are reported to emit
about 20-40 Mt of methane (or 110-230 Mt Carbon-equivalent, based on a 100-year
GWP of 21), with the largest share of emissions coming from Annex I countries.
Emissions from most Annex I countries are expected to remain stable or decline
over the next 10-20 years (IEA, 1996). A recent review of national communications
and the Second Compilation and Synthesis report, for example, estimated that
overall Annex I emissions from solid waste disposal sites were 24 Mt (138 MtCe)
in 1990 and are estimated to fall slightly to 23 Mt (132 MtCe) in 2010 (USEPA,
1999a). The principal reasons cited are increasing attention on reducing the
amount of organic material disposed of in landfills and the expanded use of
methane collection systems. In contrast, methane emissions from developing countries
are expected to increase in the future (IEA, 1996). Key factors are population
growth, additional waste generation associated with economic development, and
the continuing priority of many developing countries to reduce unmanaged dumping
and develop larger, solid waste disposal sites, which typically have higher
methane emissions. If, however, the use of locally appropriate technologies
that avoid methane generation is expanded, and those solid waste landfills that
remain essential are modified to include methane recovery systems, then methane
emissions could be significantly reduced.
Methane emissions from domestic and industrial wastewater disposal are estimated
to be about 30-40 Mt (170-230 Mt Ce) annually (IPCC 1996a, WG II, Section 220.127.116.11).
Industrial processes, principally food processing and pulp and paper, are the
major contributor, accounting for up to 95% of total emissions from this source.
Domestic and commercial wastewater emissions are believed to emit only about
2 Mt of methane annually (USEPA, 1997a). Most countries only report domestic
wastewater emissions in their National Communications; these emissions are expected
to decline slightly in Annex I countries between 1990 and 2010. Emissions are
believed to be significantly higher in developing countries, where domestic
sewage and industrial waste streams are often unmanaged or maintained under
anaerobic conditions without methane control. Future emissions are expected
to grow, primarily driven by population and industrial growth. Emission levels
are highly uncertain, however, and depend heavily on the rate at which wastewater
infrastructure is developed. To the extent that developing countries successfully
expand wastewater management services and reduce the proportion of their wastewater
managed anaerobically without methane control, emissions would be lower than
under a "business as usual" case.