Climate Change 2001:
Working Group I: The Scientific Basis
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Figure 2.34: An example (from Groisman et al., 1999) of the sensitivity of the frequency of heavy daily rainfall to a shift in the mean total rainfall, based on station data from Guangzhou, China. This example uses a threshold of 50 mm of precipitation per day. It shows the effects of a 10% increase and a 10% decrease in mean total summer rainfall, based on a gamma distribution of the rainfall with a constant shape parameter.

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