Figure TS.20

Figure caption

Figure TS.20 | Global surface temperature change 10 and 100 years after a one-year pulse of present-day emissions. The intent of this figure is to show the sectoral contribution to present-day climate change by specific climate forcers, including carbon dioxide (CO2 ) as well as short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs). The temperature response is broken down by individual species and shown for total anthropogenic emissions(top), and sectoral emissions on 10-year (left) and 100-year time scales (right). Sectors are sorted by (high-to-low) net temperature effect on the 10-year time scale. Error bars in the top panel show the 5–95% range in net temperature effect due to uncertainty in radiative forcing only (calculated using a Monte Carlo approach and best estimate uncertainties from the literature). Emissions for 2014 are from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) emissions dataset, except for hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) and aviation H2O, which rely on other datasets (see Section 6.6.2 for more details). CO₂ emissions are excluded from open biomass burning and residential biofuel use. {6.6.2, Figure 6.16}