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Chapter 22.1 Introduction to Mitigation Pathways and the Sustainable Development Context

2.1.4Utility of Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) in the Context of this Report

… of cost-effective mitigation pathways (Section 2.4.2). Bottom-up studies find higher mitigation potentials in the industry, buildings, and transport sectors in 2030 than realized in selected 2°C pathways from IAMs (UNEP 2017), indicating the possibility to strengthen sectoral decarbonization strategies until …

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Chapter 22.1 Introduction to Mitigation Pathways and the Sustainable Development Context

2.1.2The Use of Scenarios

… targets aimed at 1.5°C and 2°C (Section 2.3), and (iii) scenarios that follow the Nationally Determined Contributions or NDCs until 2030 with much more stringent mitigation action thereafter (Section 2.3.5). Characteristics of these pathways, such as emissions reduction rates, time of peaking, …

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Chapter 2

ESExecutive Summary

… pre-industrial levels, even if these pledges are supplemented with very challenging increases in the scale and ambition of mitigation after 2030 (high confidence). This increased action would need to achieve net zero CO2 emissions in less than 15 years. Even if …

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5Sustainable Development, Poverty Eradication and Reducing Inequalities

… the Low-Carbon Transition: Pathways Beyond Techno-Optimism. Springer International Publishing, Cham, Switzerland, pp. 89–114, doi:10.1007/978-3-319-62554-6_4. UN, 2015b: Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. A/RES/70/1, United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), New York, 35 pp. Denton, F. et al., 2014: Climate-resilient …

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Glossary

P Q R S

… to be compatible with the bulk temperature. Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015– 2030 outlines seven clear targets and four priorities for action to prevent new, and to reduce existing, disaster risks. The voluntary, …

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Chapter 3 References

… Lloyd, and D. Campbell-Lendrum (eds.), 2014: Quantitative risk assessment of the effects of climate change on selected causes of death, 2030 s and 2050s. World Health Organization (WHO), Geneva, Switzerland, 115 pp. Hall, J. et al., 2014: Understanding flood regime changes in …

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Chapter 33.63.6.2

3.6.2.1Risks arising from land-use changes in mitigation pathways

… to have the potential to provide 37% of the cost-effective CO2 mitigation needed by southern Europe and the Mediterranean by 2030 – in order to have a >66% chance of holding warming to below 2°C (Griscom et al., 2017). Any reductions …

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Chapter 33.53.5.4

3.5.4.6West Africa and the Sahel

… (Liu et al., 2018). Based on a World Bank (2013) study for sub-Saharan Africa, a 1.5°C warming by 2030 might reduce the present maize cropping areas by 40%, rendering these areas no longer suitable for current cultivars. Substantial negative …

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Chapter 33.43.4.10

3.4.10.2The changing structure of communities: migration, displacement and conflict

… number=1087]. Tropical populations may have to move distances greater than 1000 km if global mean temperature rises by 2°C from 2011– 2030 to the end of the century. A disproportionately rapid evacuation from the tropics could lead to a concentration of population …

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Chapter 33.43.4.10

3.4.10.1Livelihoods and poverty

At approximately 1.5°C of global warming ( 2030 ), climate change is expected to be a poverty multiplier that makes poor people poorer and increases the poverty head …

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