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Foreword

… Without increased and urgent mitigation ambition in the coming years, leading to a sharp decline in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 , global warming will surpass 1.5°C in the following decades, leading to irreversible loss of the most fragile ecosystems, and …

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Headline Statements

… warming above pre-industrial levels, with a likely range of 0.8°C to 1.2°C. Global warming is likely to reach 1.5°C between 2030 and 2052 if it continues to increase at the current rate. (high confidence) Warming from anthropogenic emissions from the pre-industrial period …

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Chapter 5 References

… with Change (LivC): An Integrated National Strategy for Enhancing the Resilience of Tokelau to Climate Change and Related Hazards, 2017– 2030 . Government of Tokelau, Apia, Soamoa, 16 pp. Leichenko, R. and J.A. Silva, 2014: Climate change and poverty: vulnerability, impacts, and …

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Chapter 4 References

… and waste in the global food system. Agricultural Systems, 153, 190–200, doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.014. Alexandratos, N. and J. Bruinsma, 2012: World agriculture towards 2030 /2050: the 2012 revision. ESA Working paper No. 12-03, Agricultural Development Economics Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United …

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Chapter 2 References

… The UK’s online storage atlas. Energy Procedia, 63, 5103–5113, doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.540. Benveniste, H. et al., 2018: Impacts of nationally determined contributions on 2030 global greenhouse gas emissions: Uncertainty analysis and distribution of emissions. Environmental Research Letters, 13(1), 014022, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aaa0b9. Berger, A. et al., 2017a: …

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Summary for Policymakers

DStrengthening the Global Response in the Context of Sustainable Development and Efforts to Eradicate Poverty

… current nationally stated mitigation ambitions as submitted under the Paris Agreement would lead to global greenhouse gas emissions in 2030 of 52–58 GtCO2eq yr−1 (medium confidence). Pathways reflecting these ambitions would not limit global warming to 1.5°C, even if supplemented …

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Summary for Policymakers

CEmission Pathways and System Transitions Consistent with 1.5°C Global Warming

… with no or limited overshoot of 1.5°C, global net anthropogenic CO2 emissions decline by about 45% from 2010 levels by 2030 (40–60% interquartile range), reaching net zero around 2050 (2045–2055 interquartile range). For limiting global warming to below 2°C …

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Summary for Policymakers

AUnderstanding Global Warming of 1.5°C*

… warming above pre-industrial levels, with a likely range of 0.8°C to 1.2°C. Global warming is likely to reach 1.5°C between 2030 and 2052 if it continues to increase at the current rate. (high confidence) (Figure SPM.1) {1.2} A.1.1. Reflecting the long-term warming …

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FAQ 5.1 What are the Connections between Sustainable Development and Limiting Global Warming to 1.5°C above Pre-Industrial Levels?

… that more needed to be done. In 2015, the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) were endorsed as part of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. The 17 SDGs (Figure FAQ 5.1) apply to all countries and have a timeline for success …

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FAQ 2.1 What Kind of Pathways Limit Warming to 1.5°C and are we on Track?

… that current pledges are not on track to limit global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. If current pledges for 2030 are achieved but no more, researchers find very few (if any) ways to reduce emissions after

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